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Pachter: PS3 to beat 360 in April

Posted on May 12th, 2008 at 18:40 EDT

During the early parts of each month, we've begun to expect and wait for Michael Pachter's latest predictions in the world of gaming and the console war. Last month, Pachter misjudged the console sales by a small margin, but that hasn't stopped him from coming out and proclaiming the same prediction for the month of April. Once again, Pachter is predicting that the PlayStation 3 has outsold the XBOX 360, this time for the month of April. With Grand Theft Auto IV boosting PS3 hardware sales, Pachter feels he should expect nothing less.

“We believe that Nintendo has diverted a significant portion of its available supply to Europe since April 2007, as the weakening dollar has made US sales less profitable for the company… We expect the supply situation will begin to improve over the next several months. We expect a surge in supply in the US for Wii Fit’s May 21 launch here, and believe we could see as many as 900,000 Wii units show up at retail this month (May).

"Console and handheld software sales growth during 2008 (+11 percent in January, +47 percent in February, +63 percent in March) is expected to continue, primarily due to 'three phenomenal new releases' in Grand Theft Auto IV, Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Explorers of Time/Darkness and Mario Kart Wii. Pachter predicted monthly software sales of $830 million, up 113 percent on last April’s figures, illustrating that, “thus far in 2008, the sector appears highly recession-resistant.”

For those of you wondering how he feels the sales numbers will stack up, we've his predictions below:

Wii: 600,000
PS3: 290,000
Xbox 360: 275,000
PS2: 160,000
DS: 550,000
PSP: 235,000

If you're interested in investing in the stock market, Pachter has recommended “...investors accumulate Activision, Electronic Arts, Nintendo, THQ, and Ubisoft shares..."

We'll be sure to update you when the official NPD numbers are released later this week.

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User Comments

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What are your thoughts?
posted 6:44pm EDT - May 12th, 2008
1

He was wrong last month...

*

...and EA stock is about $45.  A little too much for me.  I looked it up yesterday.

posted 6:46pm EDT - May 12th, 2008
2

he's usual not on the mark, but his base judgement is almost always right.

posted 6:48pm EDT - May 12th, 2008
3

Sorry, I was wrong.  EA stock is $54, not $45.

posted 7:39pm EDT - May 12th, 2008
4

I wish he'd stop making predictions in the PS3s favor because every time he's wrong it' hurts us, and he's wrong a LOT.

posted 9:16pm EDT - May 12th, 2008
5

even if it aint the month of april Ps3 outsells 360, it will be a month up-coming soon.

posted 11:35pm EDT - May 12th, 2008
6

No one can be perfectly correct much of the time, but looking back, Pachter has usually been one of the 1st to notice trends and his judgement has been quite astute.

I have actually gained much respect for him over the last 2 years, although I don't always agree with him.....even when he is right.

I will take him at his word, but I will not think less of him if he is wrong.

posted 1:33am EDT - May 13th, 2008
7

I'm starting to get tired of these Micheal "PS3-4-Life" Patcher predictions. If he wants to be taken seriously he's going to have to stop sucking Sony's balls each time he makes an "analysis"

posted 10:13am EDT - May 13th, 2008
8
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